Deposit Funding Compass

Deposit Funding Compass Week of March 14, 2024

Prices paid to US producers rose in February by the most in six months, driven by higher fuel and food costs that add to evidence inflation remains elevated.  The report showed a rise of 1.6% from a year earlier, the largest annual advance since September.  The February reading of the PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of March 6, 2024

Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated to lawmakers that the US central bank is in no rush to cut interest rates until policymakers are convinced they have won their battle over inflation. In prepared testimony to a House panel Wednesday, the Fed chief said it will likely be appropriate to begin lower borrowing costs “at some…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of February 29, 2024

The US economy expanded at a slightly slower rate at the end of last year as a downward revision to inventories masked stronger household spending and investment. GDP rose at a revised 3.2% annualized pace in the fourth quarter, compared with a prior estimate of 3.3%. Consumer spending advanced at a 3% rate. Inflation was revised higher. The Federal Reserve’s…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of February 22, 2024

The Treasury options market is sending bearish signals and bond traders are bracing for the risk of a renewed selloff, driving a surge of trading targeting higher yields and prompting investors to unwind long positions by the most in nearly two years. The trend gained momentum this week, when there was strong demand for contracts…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of February 14, 2024

US consumer prices jumped at the start of the year, tempering hopes for a continued drop in inflation and likely delaying any Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased 0.4% from December, more than expected and the most in eight months. Treasury yields jumped (5yr T’s…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of February 7, 2024

Bonds prices fell this morning before a record $42 billion sale of 10-year Treasuries, with investors also awaiting a handful of Federal Reserve speakers for clues on the interest-rate path. US policymakers have left interest rates unchanged since July and have signaled the central bank’s next move is likely a cut. Several officials, including Chair…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of February 1, 2024

In a press conference Wednesday following the Fed’s announcement that they will leave rates unchanged chairman Powell signaled that by the time the Fed meets again in March he expects a rate cut to be on the table. The Fed’s policy statement released earlier Wednesday included several tweaks that suggested the central bank was taking…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of January 24, 2024

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said it’s “premature” to think interest-rate cuts are around the corner, noting she needs to see more evidence that inflation is on a consistent trajectory back to 2% before easing policy.  The FOMC is anticipated to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged for a fourth straight meeting on Jan.…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of January 18, 2024

Bond market participants and prognosticators are beginning to reassess their expectations for rate cuts in 2024. This morning Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic urged policymakers to proceed cautiously toward interest-rate cuts given the potential economic impact of unpredictable events ranging from elections at home to conflicts around the world.  Fed officials have pushed back…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of January 11, 2024

Americans paid more for housing and driving in December as inflation increased and the CPI registered 3.4%. On an annual basis, the so-called core measure increased 3.9%.  Early reactions show the rates market interpreting this as a challenge the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as imminently as previously thought. The odds for a cut at the Jan…
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