Deposit Funding Compass Week of January 18, 2024

Bond market participants and prognosticators are beginning to reassess their expectations for rate cuts in 2024. This morning Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic urged policymakers to proceed cautiously toward interest-rate cuts given the potential economic impact of unpredictable events ranging from elections at home to conflicts around the world.  Fed officials have pushed back against market expectations of imminent and deep rate reductions this year. Odds of a March cut have notably eased.  Week over week 5,10, & 30yr yields are up between 15 and 20bps, duly reflecting the aforementioned shift in sentiment.

Issuance in Brokered CDs remains wide spread across banks of all sizes and geographies.  Demand has been somewhat muted as yields have failed to keep pace with other asset classes, particularly when viewed against the backdrop of supply in the system. This week’s rates reflect adjusted albeit still aggressive opportunities that may need to be tailored to a specific funding strategy if volatility persists.
 

Additional Resources

CU Funding Compass Week of June 20, 2024

The bond market has recently seen signs of improvement, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield recently giving back a chunk of its 2024 gains. Investors are betting that cooling US prices will convince the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner and by more than officials have signaled, effectively putting a lid on how…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of June 20, 2024

The bond market has recently seen signs of improvement, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield recently giving back a chunk of its 2024 gains. Investors are betting that cooling US prices will convince the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner and by more than officials have signaled, effectively putting a lid on how high Treasury…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of June 13, 2024

Policymakers kept rates steady at a more than two-decade high on Wednesday and dialed back their forecasts to pencil in just one quarter-point rate cut by year end, about half of what markets are pricing in. This morning’s PPI report had already delivered what traders were waiting for, the key measure of inflation cooled to…
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CU Funding Compass Week of June 13, 2024

Policymakers kept rates steady at a more than two-decade high on Wednesday and dialed back their forecasts to pencil in just one quarter-point rate cut by year end, about half of what markets are pricing in. This morning’s PPI report had already delivered what traders were waiting for, the key measure of inflation cooled to…
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CU Funding Compass Week of June 6, 2024

Bonds fell yesterday as traders weighed mixed economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Earlier Wednesday, a private payrolls reading highlighted that hiring at US companies grew at the slowest pace since the start of the year. Traders are now gearing up for Friday’s monthly payrolls report, which is expected to show…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of June 6, 2024

Bonds fell yesterday as traders weighed mixed economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Earlier Wednesday, a private payrolls reading highlighted that hiring at US companies grew at the slowest pace since the start of the year. Traders are now gearing up for Friday’s monthly payrolls report, which is expected to show…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of May 31, 2024

Inflation rose roughly as expected in April, with markets paying close attention to when interest rates might start coming down, according to a measure released Friday that is followed closely by the Federal Reserve. The core reading for the personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% in April. That…
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CU Funding Compass Week of May 22, 2024

Treasury yields rise as investors digest Fed speaker comments. Several Fed officials urged patience when it comes to rate cuts as inflation remains above the central banks 2% target range. Fed Governor Christopher Wallace said he would like to see more good data on the inflation front before lowering rates. Share Certificate issuance has increased…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of May 22, 2024

Treasury yields rise as investors digest Fed speaker comments. Several Fed officials urged patience when it comes to rate cuts as inflation remains above the central banks 2% target range. Fed Governor Christopher Wallace said he would like to see more good data on the inflation front before lowering rates. CD issuance has increased roughly…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of May 16, 2024

A measure of underlying US inflation cooled in April for the first time in six months, a small step in the right direction for Federal Reserve officials looking to start cutting interest rates this year. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased 0.3% from March, according to government data out…
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