Deposit Funding Compass Week of November 2, 2023

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted the US central bank may now be finished with the most aggressive tightening cycle in four decades after it held off on raising interest rates for a second consecutive policy meeting. Federal Open Market Committee left its benchmark rate unchanged Wednesday in a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. Officials signaled in a post-meeting statement that a recent rise in longer-term Treasury yields reduces the impetus to hike again, though they left the door open to another increase. The 10-year US Treasury yield tumbled below 4.75% for the first time in two weeks, extending moves initially triggered in the morning by the Treasury Department’s plans to slow the pace of increase in its long-term debt sales.
CD issuance has been tempered to start November, and this week’s rates reflect the benefit of that wait and see approach. Though pricing isn’t as dynamic as other asset classes we feel with a 2wk+ settle this more aggressive run of levels should begin to gain traction as supply is light. Money center banks aren’t moving off their pre-rally rates, but demand should pick up the slack even with spreads widening. Please see today’s funding opportunities.

Additional Resources

CU Funding Compass Week of June 20, 2024

The bond market has recently seen signs of improvement, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield recently giving back a chunk of its 2024 gains. Investors are betting that cooling US prices will convince the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner and by more than officials have signaled, effectively putting a lid on how…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of June 20, 2024

The bond market has recently seen signs of improvement, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield recently giving back a chunk of its 2024 gains. Investors are betting that cooling US prices will convince the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner and by more than officials have signaled, effectively putting a lid on how high Treasury…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of June 13, 2024

Policymakers kept rates steady at a more than two-decade high on Wednesday and dialed back their forecasts to pencil in just one quarter-point rate cut by year end, about half of what markets are pricing in. This morning’s PPI report had already delivered what traders were waiting for, the key measure of inflation cooled to…
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CU Funding Compass Week of June 13, 2024

Policymakers kept rates steady at a more than two-decade high on Wednesday and dialed back their forecasts to pencil in just one quarter-point rate cut by year end, about half of what markets are pricing in. This morning’s PPI report had already delivered what traders were waiting for, the key measure of inflation cooled to…
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CU Funding Compass Week of June 6, 2024

Bonds fell yesterday as traders weighed mixed economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Earlier Wednesday, a private payrolls reading highlighted that hiring at US companies grew at the slowest pace since the start of the year. Traders are now gearing up for Friday’s monthly payrolls report, which is expected to show…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of June 6, 2024

Bonds fell yesterday as traders weighed mixed economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Earlier Wednesday, a private payrolls reading highlighted that hiring at US companies grew at the slowest pace since the start of the year. Traders are now gearing up for Friday’s monthly payrolls report, which is expected to show…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of May 31, 2024

Inflation rose roughly as expected in April, with markets paying close attention to when interest rates might start coming down, according to a measure released Friday that is followed closely by the Federal Reserve. The core reading for the personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2% in April. That…
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CU Funding Compass Week of May 22, 2024

Treasury yields rise as investors digest Fed speaker comments. Several Fed officials urged patience when it comes to rate cuts as inflation remains above the central banks 2% target range. Fed Governor Christopher Wallace said he would like to see more good data on the inflation front before lowering rates. Share Certificate issuance has increased…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of May 22, 2024

Treasury yields rise as investors digest Fed speaker comments. Several Fed officials urged patience when it comes to rate cuts as inflation remains above the central banks 2% target range. Fed Governor Christopher Wallace said he would like to see more good data on the inflation front before lowering rates. CD issuance has increased roughly…
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Deposit Funding Compass Week of May 16, 2024

A measure of underlying US inflation cooled in April for the first time in six months, a small step in the right direction for Federal Reserve officials looking to start cutting interest rates this year. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased 0.3% from March, according to government data out…
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